Dakilik's tips (Moto, F1, WRC)
This blog will be about motorsports ; my goal is to become a bookmaker.
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My statistics
Tuesday, July 10th, 2007 13:00


Season 2007

Formula One
Staked: 13u
Net balance: +8.8u
ROI: 167.69%

Moto (125cc, 250cc, MotoGP)
Staked: 308u
Net balance: +156.72u
ROI: 150.86%

Superbike / Supersport
Staked: 75u
Net balance: +58.45u
ROI: 177.93%

Rally WRC
Staked: 140u
Net balance: -6.32u
ROI: 95.48%

Alpine ski
Staked: 56.3u
Net balance: +21.67u
ROI: 138.5%

If you want to leave a message I will answer you with pleasure :-) I hope you'll enjoy my blog :-)






Spanish Race: Winner w/o 4 big    +5
Sunday, April 27th, 2008 15:00
Motor Sports - Formula 1


Pick:  Kubica   Result: Not registered
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  2.00
Bookmaker:  Ladbrokes   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 27, 2008, 04:42

For me this bet is almost a H2H between Kubica and Alonso.

Heidfeld starts 9th on the grid and he is behind Webber and Trulli who will be faster than him, but as it's hard to overtake he will lose time on Kubica.

So I give about 10% to others to win.

I give easily 66/34 to Kubica against Alonso.

So about 60% for Kubica to win without Raikkonen Hamilton Massa and Kovalainen.






Race 1 Assen: Sofuoglu - Gimbert    +5.95
Sunday, April 27th, 2008 13:00
Motor Sports - Superbike


Pick:  Sofuoglu   Result: 11th-17th
Stake:  7/10   Odds:  1.85
Bookmaker:  Globet   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 27, 2008, 04:23

Two different classes between these two guys... I don't see how Gimbert could be an opponent to Sofuoglu there, is there's no crash from the Turkish guy, about 80% chances...

So about 70-30.






Race 2 Assen: Checa    +6
Sunday, April 27th, 2008 17:00
Motor Sports - Superbike


Pick:  Top 3   Result: Not registered
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.50
Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 27, 2008, 04:08

For me there are 4 great favourites : Bayliss, Checa, Haga and Xaus.

Bayliss last year had tyres problem in the first race and the Yama has often this kind of problems.

It's a bit hard to say woh will be the strongest between these four guys even if I have a small idea, but anyway 2.60 is much too high !! At least 50% chances.

Race 2 Checa top 3 @2.50 bet365 4/10






Assen Race 1: Checa top 3    +6.4
Sunday, April 27th, 2008 13:00
Motor Sports - Superbike


Pick:  Yes   Result: Not registered
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.60
Bookmaker:  BWin   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 27, 2008, 04:04

For me there are 4 great favourites : Bayliss, Checa, Haga and Xaus.

Bayliss last year had tyres problem in the first race and the Yama has often this kind of problems.

It's a bit hard to say woh will be the strongest between these four guys even if I have a small idea, but anyway 2.60 is much too high !! At least 50% chances.






Spanish GP: Kovalainen - Heidfeld    -6
Sunday, April 27th, 2008 15:00
Motor Sports - Formula 1


Pick:  Kovalainen   Result: Mechanical pb
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  1.81
Bookmaker:  Goldbet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Apr 27, 2008, 00:55

Kovalainen over Heidfeld @1.81 Goldbet 6/10, 1.60 on others 3/10

On this track as I already told, this is very hard to overtake. Heidfeld may have a lot of fuel, he'll be behind Webber and Trulli as the six guys ahead will escape.

Unless Kovalainen crashes, which is scarce because he's a safe driver, I don't see how he could finish behind Heidfeld.

67/33






GP spain: Piquet vs group    -6
Monday, April 28th, 2008 11:00
Motor Sports - Formula 1


Pick:  Piquet to win   Result: Out
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  4.00
Bookmaker:  Ladbrokes   vCash: Yes
Posted: Apr 27, 2008, 00:23

Piquet winner of the group composed of Nakajima, Barrichello, Button, Glock and Coulthard.
Ladbrokes, @4.00 6/10

Great great pick for me, Piquet seems to be faster than all of the others ones. He starts tenth, so ahead of all his opponent and on this track this is very hard to overtake. I'm almost sure Piquet is full of fuel and will stop after the other drivers.

Great value for me, about 40% for Piquet to win the group.






Qualifications: Glock - Coulthard    +0.85
Friday, April 25th, 2008 11:00
Motor Sports - Formula 1


Pick:  Glock   Result: Not registered
Stake:  1/10   Odds:  1.85
Bookmaker:  Goldbet   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 25, 2008, 02:49

Toyota is the best car of the four "medium teams" with Renault Williams and Red Bull. Coulthard is not a good driver for qualifications and often makes mistakes.

This year 8-12-17 and Glock 9-10-13, more regular and above all, Toyota makes more progress, I think, than Red Bull during these 3 week break.

Good value for me even if only 100€ limit.

60/40.






Jordan Rally: Hirvonen - P. Solberg    +2
Friday, April 25th, 2008 08:00
Motor Sports - WRC


Pick:  Hirvonen   Result: Not registered
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  1.50
Bookmaker:  Nordicbet   vCash: Yes
Posted: Apr 25, 2008, 02:26

17-3 for Hirvonen in their 20 last H2H... No more words !

80-20






WRC Jordany: Latvala - P. Solberg    +3
Friday, April 25th, 2008 08:15
Motor Sports - WRC


Pick:  Latvala   Result: Not registered
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  1.75
Bookmaker:  Bet24   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 23, 2008, 20:18

Honestly I don’t understand this odd. Latvala/Ford are much stronger than Solberg/Subaru. On gravel, Latvala lead 3-0 against him this year and made a lot of progress comparatively to the last year.

Indeed, it’s true that the Jordan Rally is new and that Petter Solberg, with Dani Sordo, is the only one to know a bit the rally because they drive there last year to judge the roads and to say if the rally can take part to the WRC. But I don’t think this could give them a great advantage, anyway clearly not enough to be better than Latvala, the best ones will be the best drivers. If Petter had taken part to this rally several times, why not, but just once and just “like that”…

65/35 easily.







Spain qualifs: Alonso - Webber    +0.8
Saturday, April 26th, 2008 11:00
Motor Sports - Formula 1


Pick:  Alonso   Result: Not registered
Stake:  1/10   Odds:  1.80
Bookmaker:  Gamebookers   vCash: Yes
Posted: Apr 22, 2008, 21:04

Qualif
Alonso over Webber @1.80 1/10 Gamebookers, others like pinnacle and bwin also.

Renault has a lot of new things for the car and they’ve made progress. Alonso is at home and he has beaten Webber 2 times out of 3 this year.

Alonso himself said the car will be better in Spain and I think it’s gonna be ok.

60/40







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About me

Name:  Dakilik
Location: 
Betting:  Part-time
 
Statistics
 
Picks: 205 
Won: 95 
Win rate: 46% 
Stake avg.: 3.5 
Staked: 722.00 
Returned: 962.87 
Net balance: +240.87 
ROI*: 133% 
Streak: ?  
vCash (0/0): $100.00 

*ROI = Return Of Investment




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